![]() He participates in the editorial board of Climatic Change, Earth System Dynamics and Global Environmental Change. He is member of the board of the Integrated Assessment Modelling Consortium (IAMC), the Global Carbon Project, the Earth Commission and member of the steering board of ISIMIP. Detlef van Vuuren participates in various research organizations in the field of environmental research. Among other things, he worked on the climate scenarios of the IPCC, the climate panel of the United Nations. Van Vuuren takes into account the interaction between climate, environment, living environment and economy. He develops models with which future climate and environmental changes can be explored by means of scenarios. ![]() His research focuses on global sustainability issues. He is among the few people worldwide that are listed as most highly cited researchers in three different disciplines. He has published more than 360 articles in refereed journals including high profile journals like Nature and Science. Detlef van Vuuren, Professor in Integrated Assessment of Global Environmental Change, Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University,, also Senior Researcher, PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency,, Detlef van Vuuren is a professor in Integrated Assessment of Global Environmental Change at the Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University and senior researcher at the PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency leading the IMAGE integrated assessment modeling team. The scenarios can also inform the academic debate around conceptualising the BRI and provide a qualitative basis for future quantitative impact assessments.ĭr. These post-pandemic pathways of the BRI might help decision-makers in business and politics to prepare their responses and strategies. These scenarios show that different development are possible with the BRI's geographical scope, the investment volumes and sectors, the funding structure, and also the orientation towards sustainability. We arrive at the four scenarios Asian, Vibrant, Irrelevant, and International BRI. We conceptualise the BRI alongside its degree of economic globalisation and multilateralism, which are both impacted by the global pandemic response. We address this research gap and apply a scenario method with a 2 × 2 matrix, building on insights from ∼40 qualitative interviews with representatives from business, non-profit and public sectors from China and BRI countries, complemented by desk research of press and academic articles. However, so far, there is no systematic and comprehensive analysis of how it might look like in the medium-term future (2035), even though academic literature on the BRI is burgeoning. Since its launch, the BRI has changed significantly in terms of scale, stakeholders, and investment sectors and continues to evolve, also in light of the COVID-19 crisis. China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), labelled as the world's largest infrastructure program, has so far directed investments mainly to energy and transportation networks in Asia, the Middle East, and Africa.
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